The Australian dollar may extend its gains against the US dollar as the AUD/USD settles at the 0.9200 marker after reaching 0.9260. [Read more…] about Australian Dollar To Bounce Versus USD?
The AUDUSD pair may fall once again as it may find some resistance at its former support at 0.9120. [Read more…] about Aussie to Weaken Again Versus the USD?
Welcome to another day of forex trading my friends! My pick for the day is the Australian dollar versus the US dollar currency pair (AUD/USD) or the “Aussie” as many would call it. As you can see, [Read more…] about Bullish Setup In The Aussie Dollar (AUD/USD)!
Hello traders! My forex pick for the day is the [Read more…] about The Aussie (AUD/USD) Setup In The 1-Hour Chart
The holiday season must have really great for those who are long on the Australian. The month of November was not particularly well since the AUDUSD pair has slid by 640 pips after marking a historical high at 1.0183 and [Read more…] about The Australian Dollar At A New All-time High!
Hello guys! Welcome to another day of forex trading. My forex pick for the day is an update on the Australian dollar against the US dollar currency pair (AUDUSD) or as some may call it “Aussie”. During my last post on this (kindly check here), I mentioned it could head north once again after a possible rebound from its 7-month trend line seen in the daily chart. Gladly, as the AUDUSD touched the trend, [Read more…] about Bullishness Seen In The Aussie!
Hey guys, here’s my technical analysis update on the Australian dollar against the US dollar (AUD/USD) or the “Aussie” as some people call it. The Australian and US dollar were at par last month (kindly check this) then an all-time high of 1.0183 was made on November 5. However, the Aussie started declining by a thousand pips to an 8-week low of 0.9584 because of the Ireland banking crisis then followed up by the potential North-South Korea war last week. Fortunately for [Read more…] about The Aussie Could Head North Once Again
The Australian dollar is finally at par with the greenback! Just today, the AUDUSD pair touched and even moved above the magical 1.0000 number after breaking out from a symmetrical triangle. Back in October 4, I asked whether the AUDUSD had the legs to reach for the parity level (kindly see it here). At that time, the pair had just broken out from a rare broadening right triangle formation. The pair then continued to move north before moving sideways for almost two weeks. The inevitable occurred and luckily for the Aussie bulls, the pair broke out to the upside. At present, the Aussie is now trading at just above 1.0000, it’s first time in history to be at that level. And based on my technical estimate (gauged by projecting the height of the smaller triangle upward), it could at least reach 1.0150. A more promising target would be as high as 1.0700 which is measured based on the height of the larger broadening pattern.
Earlier today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprisingly hiked its interest rate to 4.75% from 4.50% which effectively pushed the Aussie towards uncharted territory against the US dollar. The central bank sees inflation to rise at a faster pace over the medium term. One tool to prevent a rapid rise in prices is of course to increase the market’s interest rates. The increase makes the Aussie more appealing to investors because of its higher yields compared to the meager 0.25% of the greenback. More robust Australian economy, higher RBA interest rates, talks of additional QE measures by the Fed, plus the overall negative sentiment on the dollar have been working well for the AUDUSD, making it the best candidate for carry trade as of the moment. If these factors remain then the demand for the pair would more likely increase as well.
Good day to you my Forex friends! Guess what?!?! The Australian dollar has recently marked a new historical high over the US dollar. And from the looks of it, it seems that the AUDUSD pair has still a lot of legs left to move higher. As you can see from its 8-hour chart, the pair has been trading on a well defined uptrend for quite some time now. Earlier this week, the pair opened with a bullish gap though this move was invalidated when it fell below the bottom of the gap. Nonetheless, the tide has even turned for the better now as it formed and then broke out from an ascending triangle formation after moving past its previous all-time high at 0.9849. Gauging from the height of the pattern, the pair could run upwards by at least 150 pips more from 0.9900, bringing the 1.0000 marker in sight. As long as the uptrend holds, the Australian dollar would most likely reach parity with the greenback in the near term.
Recent talks of more money printing scheme (quantitative easing) by the US Federal Reserve has reflected negatively on the USD. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke earlier stated the possibility of another round of quantitative easing or the printing of more money in layman’s term to support the economy by encouraging the public to borrow and to spend. Aiming to reduce the daily market lending rate by increasing the money supply would of course lessen the dollar’s valuation.
Based on the latest survey, retail sales and inflation figures in the US are expected to remain subdued. If these numbers remain flat over the next with the country’s labor market staying weak as well in the succeeding months then it is quite possible for the Fed to indeed do as it is suggesting now.
An uptrend from February 25 to present remains intact for the AUD/USD in the 3-hour chart as for my forex market technical analysis. As long as the price doesn’t go below the support line (yellow diagonal line) this would continue climbing and upon the break from the support line would be my entry for shorting.
Updates: 11pm 3-8. Took profits, earned 6 pips. I didn’t like how the AUDUSD was moving. The MACD was showing bearish signals and the stochastic indicates overbought. I really wasn’t paying much attention to the indicators when I entered. It’s a good thing I didn’t lose this trade.