Happy Holiday’s FX friends! Hope your trades are giving you dividends especially these days. Anyway, those who are long on the New Zealand dollar or the Kiwi as what investors call it in the street, should start thinking about lightening your positions. Why? Well, if you look at its daily chart, you will see that it has recently broken down from a head and shoulders pattern. In the process, it has also breached its uptrend line. As some of you might know, a break down from such pattern signals a bearish reversal. So if the NZDUSD pair fails to go over the formation’s neckline at 0.7400, it could fall all the way down to just above 0.6800 (computed by projecting the height of the pattern from the point of break down). On the flip side, a successful move above 0.7400 could send the pair at least back in sideways motion. [Read more...]