As I mentioned in my post last year “the Santa Claus rally is the rise in stock prices in the month of December and is usually seen on December 26 to December 31 in most stock markets worldwide. However, it doesn’t happen at the exact dates mentioned but yes, it usually takes place after Christmas day and before New Year’s eve. [Read more...]
Hello Santa Claus Rally!
A Technical Look On The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
Happy Halloween everyone! I don’t want to scare you or anything but it seems that there could be another blood bath in the US market at least from a technical perspective. Let’s now take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). [Read more...]
More Downside Seen In The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI)?
Could the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) continue its descent? [Read more...]
DOWn Jones: Where To Now?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been a major disappointment for investors worldwide as it virtually erased its gains for the whole year and more in a span of just 4 weeks. Many are now scared that index could once again fall into a bear market but will it? [Read more...]
Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Technical Outlook
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) broke down from its [Read more...]
Violent Clashes In Egypt Rocked The Dow And The Euro
The US stock market dropped sharply last Friday as violent clashes in Egypt rocked the global financial markets. [Read more...]
The January Effect On The Dow Jones Industrial Average
Happy New Year everyone!!! The Santa Clause Rally gave the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) a decent rise for the final month of 2010. From 11,007.30 on December 1st, the ^DJI ended the month up by 570.20 points to [Read more...]
Is The US Market Bullish?
Hello financial market friends! I have here the update on my analysis on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI). This index is looking good, well at least based on its chart. The last time I mentioned about this was last October 11 during the Columbus day, kindly check this post. Also, if you want to check the one last September 22, it’s in this post. Earlier, the Fed planned to pump $600 billion into the financial system to stimulate the economy in large part by lowering mortgage and other interest rates. This could be good for the US stocks and bonds. However, it won’t be favorable for the US currency as US Dollars could turn out flooding the market. The report prompted different currencies to strengthen against the weakening US Dollar (here’s the analysis). For example, 1.00 Australian Dollar is now equal to 1.008 US Dollar when they were just at parity the other day (kindly see this post). On a side not, the Federal Funds rate was decided to be held at 0.25% which they have been doing lately and will be continuing to do until it’s sure that the US economy is growing. Although, this raises inflation concerns to other analysts. The market turned out to be extremely volatile during the Fed rate decision and the FOMC statement.
Chart-wise, my outlook on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is one of the US market benchmarks, could be bullish. As for my technical analysis, I spotted this 2-year cup and handle formation. By the way, a cup and handle formation is naturally bullish, it could be a reversal or a continuation pattern as well. The only way to find out if the pattern is indeed a cup and handle if the index moves past above the neckline. If it does, it could rise and find some selling pressure at the next resistance around the 12,000.00 psychological level. Furthermore, if that marker gets cleared out, the next resistance it could aim for is around the 13,000.00 area. On the opposite note, in case the ^DJI fails to resume its ascend, the significant support could be the 11,000.00 psychological level. If that fails to hold the index from further declining, the next support could be the 19-month uptrend.
US STOCK EXCHANGE INDEX: DJI (DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE) 10-11-08
The Philippine stock market has been in a slump as a reaction to the US financial crisis. DJI, the U.S. market’s major stock index, had been tremendously declining for quite some time now. As we can see in the chart, DJIbroke down from a head and shoulders formation (3 arcs: The head is the biggest red arc and the shoulders are the arcs beside it). It made a rising wedge (emphasized by the 2 short diagonal lines) which bounced from the neckline (longest red line) and easily achievied the minimum target (red dotted vertical line) of 9,500. After a while, it just duck dove all the way to the 8,000 area as a result of continuing bad news on different companies. At present, DJI is around its major support (violet line). If backed up by good news, we might be seeing a rally in the next few days because of the doji-looking 1 day reversal with its latest candlestick (red circle on the 3rd picture). Click image to enlarge!











