Megaworld Corporation (MEG)
Consensus Target Price: PHP 2.86 [Read more...]
First Philippine Holdings (FPH) to Make 2011 Its Year?
Last December 2009, First Philippine Holdings Corporation or FPH in the Philippine Stock Exchange disclosed that it is planning to invest more than $750 million in renewable energy. The company’s chief financial officer, Francis [Read more...]
My Top 10 Forex Resolutions For 2011
Well, it’s only two days before the New Year so I better make my end of the year resolutions… Exercise daily, eat healthy, steady on the partying, and so on.. Trading-wise, here are my top 10 forex decrees: [Read more...]
Aboitiz Transport System (ATS) to Sail High?
On December 6, Aboitiz Equity Ventures or AEV in the Philippine Stock Exchange disclosed that it would push through with the sale of its transport unit, Aboitiz Transport System (ATS) to Negros Navigation Co. (Nenaco). Aboitiz Equity Ventures is selling 1,889,489,607 common shares, representing 77.24% of ATS’ outstanding common shares. The proceed of which will be used by AEV to finance new investments in power, food, and banking. As previously mentioned, the purchase price for 100% of ATS’s outstanding common shares is $105 million, approximately equivalent to $0.043 per share. This would then translate to PHP 1.8920 per share at PHP 44.00 per 1 USD. So presently, the shares of ATS is still trading at a 7.50% discount, assuming an exchange rate of PHP 44.00 to a dollar, given last Thursday’s close of PHP 1.7600 per share. [Read more...]
Fil-Estate Land (LND) Soared as Alliance Global Buys 50% Stake
It was a jolly Christmas indeed for the holders of Fil-Estate Land or GERI in the Philippine Stock Exchange as its shares zoomed from PHP 1.03 to close 26.09% higher at PHP 1.16 last December 23. News that Alliance Global Group, Inc. (AGI), the holding firm which also owns Megaworld Corporation, is buying 5 billion additional shares at PHP 5 billion in cash sent the LND soaring through the roof. This transaction would increase AGI’s stake in Fil-Estate to 60%. In a report disclosed in the PSE, AGI said that such move is in line with the company’s strategy of investing in tourism projects outside of Metro Manila. Apparently, the company had already disclosed that it will spend about PHP 7 billion in new-tourism developments earlier this month. [Read more...]
Major Economic Reports For December 26, 2010 to January 1, 2011
Hello trader friends! Hope everyone is enjoying the holiday season. Anyway, here are the global economic releases for the last week of 2010. May the New Year bring in some more success in our trading. Good luck! [Read more...]
DMCI: Calm Before Another Bullish Storm?
Shareholders of the DMCI Holdings, Inc. or DMC in the Philippine Stock Exchange must have been partying all season long because of the unbelievable performance of the stock. Imagine, DMC only started trading at below PHP 10.00 in January 2010. And before you know it, DMC shares already reached a high of PHP 41.00 last November. Incredible! Anyway, after reaching the said high, DMC appears to have lost its upward momentum and has been trading flat ever since. Are shareholders just cashing their profits? Are we seeing a start of a downtrend? Or is DMC just gathering enough legs to propel itself to the sky once again? [Read more...]
Phoenix Petroleum to Follow Petron’s Footsteps?
The last two months has been very good for the oil stocks of the Philippine Stock Exchange, particularly Phoenix Petroleum and Petron Corporation. Petron has exploded from a low of about 6.80 in November 2010 to a high of 17.40 in today’s trading, forming a pennant pattern on its way. Anyway, that’s a gain of more than 250% in less than two months! Wow. Similarly, Phoenix has risen from 7.00 to a high of 13.80 during the same time frame. After reaching the said high, PNX, however, has consolidated into pennant or a symmetrical triangle pattern. The question now is, will PNX break out the same way that PCOR did? [Read more...]
US Dollar Seen to Rally Against the Japanese Yen
So after being routed by Japanese yen for the last three years, it seems like the US dollar‘s recent rally will extend at least in the near term. Earlier today, the Bank of Japan, which is headed by Governor Masaaki Shirakawa, decided to keep its interest rate unchanged for the foreseeable future to encourage spending. Japan’s core consumer price index, which measures the change in the price of goods and services consumed minus the price of fresh food, remains stuck at -0.6%. A decrease in prices suggests that overall consumption in the country is very [Read more...]
The New Zealand Dollar (Kiwi) Breaks Down!
Happy Holiday’s FX friends! Hope your trades are giving you dividends especially these days. Anyway, those who are long on the New Zealand dollar or the Kiwi as what investors call it in the street, should start thinking about lightening your positions. Why? Well, if you look at its daily chart, you will see that it has recently broken down from a head and shoulders pattern. In the process, it has also breached its uptrend line. As some of you might know, a break down from such pattern signals a bearish reversal. So if the NZDUSD pair fails to go over the formation’s neckline at 0.7400, it could fall all the way down to just above 0.6800 (computed by projecting the height of the pattern from the point of break down). On the flip side, a successful move above 0.7400 could send the pair at least back in sideways motion. [Read more...]
Major Economic Reports For December 20-24, 2010
Here are the major economic releases for December 20 to 24 of 2010. Kindly see the attached calendar to see the potential market moving reports and their respective currencies. Have a great week of FX trading! [Read more...]
Swiss Franc to Revisit Its Historical High Vs. the USD?
The market has been kind of iffy during the past couple of months and the USDCHF pair has been behaving in the same way. Looking at its daily chart, you can see that the pair has winded into a rising wedge pattern after marking an all-time low at 0.9462 back in October 4. Now as you of you might know, a rising wedge pattern is deemed bullish by technicians since it only depicts a temporary rally in prices. If this is the case, then the Swiss Franc could [Read more...]
Philex Mining (PX) Breaks Out!
The shares of Philex Mining, which is the largest gold producing company in the Philippines, or PX in the Philippine Stock Exchange have broken out from a either a rare inverted head and shoulders continuation pattern or a descending triangle. Either way, the recent breakout suggests a subsequent upside move for the stock. Looking at its daily chart, you can see that the volume of shares that was traded during the time of breakout has increased. The MACD likewise signal a bullish move with a bullish crossover (histogram just crossed above the zero line). Moreover, its RSI is already above 50 but below 80, suggesting that its upside move is gaining momentum. Yesterday’s (December 7) trading has also pushed it above all the three moving averages. Anyway, if buying continues to [Read more...]
DMCI: From Bearish to Bullish
A couple of days ago, the shares of DMCI or DMC in the Philippine Stock Exchange appeared to have broken down from a head and shoulders formation (please see my previous post here). More often than not, a break down from such pattern would place a lot of selling pressure on the stock. However, the breakdown gets invalidated when its price rose back above the formation’s neckline. I myself was caught in a “bear trap.” Now, DMC looks to have just broken out from a falling wedge pattern. Given this, I have to readjust my take on DMC from a bearish one to bullish. [Read more...]
Gold Flirting With Its All-time High Again
The price of gold have been relatively volatile during the past couple of weeks due to the swings in market sentiment. On November 9, gold marked a new all-time high at $1,424.00 per ounce before falling steeply amid the speculation that China will raise its interest rates to place a check on its 4.4% inflation figure for the month of October. A rise in interest rates would likely slow China’s growth and since it is now the number two biggest economy in the world, such would not go reflect in the other countries as well especially its trading partners, hence, boosting the greenback. It’s kind of weird, however, since the price of gold actually rose when the same inflation data in China was released the day before. [Read more...]
Bearish Reversal Seen on DMC
DMCI Holdings, Inc. or DMC, which is one of the leading construction firms in the Philippines, has been one of the best stock performers since the start of 2009 (kindly click this to see my colleague’s analysis). During the [Read more...]
The End of the US Dollar’s Rally?
For the past week or so, the US dollar has rallied strongly against its major peers thanks to the drama in Ireland and in the Korean peninsula. Ireland needed about €85 billion ($114 billion) to help service its ballooning [Read more...]
Medium Term Reversal on the Singapore Dollar?
Good day FX friends! I’m back and kicking once again! Anyway, in today’s forex pick is a technical update on the USDSGD pair – that’s the greenback versus the Singapore dollar. In case you do not know, the Singapore dollar (SGD) has been gradually beating the US dollar‘s ass since March of 2009 much like what Manny Pacquiao was doing to Antonio Margarito in their fight last November 13. Notice, however, that the Sing’s ascent over the US dollar has hastened by [Read more...]
Euro to Get Back on the Bullish Track
Good day ladies and gents of FX trading! In today’s forex pick is the daily canvas of the EURUSD pair a.k.a the “fiber”. The last time I posted on this was when it broke out from the bullish symmetrical triangle formation (kindly see this) and made a new 10-month high at 1.4248. However, as you can see from its chart, the EURUSD has slipped for a fifth straight day today after marking that high. Those who are long on the euro and short on the greenback, however, should [Read more...]
Will Crude Oil Follow Gold’s Path?
Hello finance peeps! Today I’m going to talk about crude oil. If you have been tuned in to the markets for the last several months, perhaps you know or at least have heard from someone that commodities like gold and silver have recently marked their new historical highs. But unlike those two metals, the people’s “black gold” managed to stay out of the radar. In fact, during the time when both gold and silver were making new highs after another, the price of crude oil has only traded sideways – between $70.000 per barrel and $87.350. [Read more...]
